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An examination of voter loyalty

WHAT LIES BENEATH THE SURFACE ILLUSION OF PLACIDITY…

BY FRANK GRAVES

[OTTAWA – June 15, 2009] - One of the

EKOS in the News - June 1, 2009

Chances of a quick Canada seen fading fast - David Ljunggren, Reuters.ca

Excerpt:

But an Ekos survey of almost 11,000 Canadians — more than 10 times the usual polling size — put the Liberals at 33.5 percent in public support and the Conservatives at 32.3 percent.

Under Canada’s first-past-the-post electoral system, a party needs to win around 36… [More...]

Frank’s methodological commentary - June 1, 2009

The following note was penned by Frank Graves and shared with Paul Wells (see Inkless Wells - Macleans.ca). The commentary refers to the EKOS poll released on June 1, 2009 (Massive Poll of Canadians).

I think the real value and implications

EKOS in the News - June 1, 2009

Minority Government Possible for Liberals, poll suggests - CBC.ca

Excerpt:

The EKOS poll released Monday exclusively for the CBC suggests the Liberals would likely squeak into a minority government.

The poll found 33.5 per cent of respondents would vote Liberal. Another 32.3 per cent said they would vote Conservative, and 15.1 per cent said they would vote NDP.

The… [More...]

EKOS in the News - April 23, 2009

Support serious business in Ottawa: Council considering Lansdowne Live; if CFL returns, will fans come back too? - Jack Fischer, The Ottawa Citizen

Excerpt:

“Polling done to support the Lansdowne Live bid also suggests there is plenty of interest in football across the region.

According to a survey done by EKOS Research Associates in December, 43 per cent… [More...]

EKOS in the News - April 21, 2009

Witnessing a Democracy’s decline - James Travers, The Toronto Star

Excerpt:

“Still, there’s hope beyond the coincidence of current concern. Ballot-box rewards wait for the leader or party able to convince Canadians that democratic reform is a commitment, not just another campaign promise to be scrapped once power has been secured.

Proof of that political potential is in… [More...]

EKOS in the News - April 20, 2009

Liberals to target every riding in the next election - Brian Laghi, The Globe and Mail

Excerpt:

“The Conservatives, it seems to me have spent the last four years or so trying to create an alternative national party and part of that was to make inroads into Quebec so they could no longer be accused of being… [More...]

EKOS in the News - April 18, 2009

Portrait of a patriot? - Michael Valpy, The Globe and Mail

Excerpt:

“An Ekos Research poll published this week shows the Liberals seven points ahead of the Conservatives nationally. With an election almost certain in the next 18 months, Canadians are beginning to envision Mr. Ignatieff as their prime minister.

Two years ago, when he lost his first… [More...]

Frank in the News - April 16, 2009

Conservatives slipping, Liberals gaining: EKOS Poll - CBC News

Exerpt:

Fortunes have shifted substantially for Stephen Harper’s Conservatives since December, with Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals enjoying an upsurge, says a new poll from EKOS released exclusively to CBC News.

Asked which party they would support if an election were held tomorrow, 36.7 opted for the Liberals while 30.2 per… [More...]

Frank in the News - April 13, 2009

Beware the Echo Recession - The Globe and Mail

Now that we are deep into what appears to be a particularly savage recession, it is worth looking back at the last recession to see what we can learn. When I return to my polling data from the 1990s, the lesson is clear: The

About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including PROBIT© and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight in Election '08. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

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